The Republican party is, as usual, inconsistent. Shashank Bengali of the Ledger-Enquirer reported today that plans for a wall in Baghdad, which troops have nicknamed the “Great Wall of Adhemiya”, is in jeopardy of falling to pieces now that Iraqis have come together to stop what some have called a “racist wall”. The wall would be constructed to section off Sunni areas from Shiia-controlled neighborhoods.
That this wall would even be considered is evidence that Baghdad is not safe. Unless, of course, Tim Walberg wants to propose plans to carve up Ann Arbor in Detroit’s West Side to keep the West Side Gang, Latin Kings, and West Willow Crips from each other. Obviously the rivalry between the Crips and Latin Kings, who are notorious for their violent shoot-outs, is still not as bad as the Sunni and Shiia problem in Iraq. I guess Baghdad isn’t as safe as Detroit, which Walberg assessed last month.
These assessments of “safety” are based on gut feelings and wishful thinking, not on empirical evidence. Last Wednesday a car bomb killed 82 people in Baghdad. Even if that had been an isolated incident, it is still staggering. But it is not an isolated event. People are dying by the dozens in Baghdad every day, to say nothing of the rest of the country. The death toll in Baghdad blows away anything we have here in the US.
Though I hate to jump on the bandwagon, it is totally insane that when McCain assessed that Baghdad was so safe, he was wearing a massive flak jacket and surrounded by dozens of troops. I have never needed a flak jacket, let alone armed escort, to walk through any US city.
As for the troop surge “working”, we have here the classic Socratic problem of definition. What does it mean for the troop surge to be working? Working at what?
*In March it was reported that for four straight months the US was suffering 80 fatalities per month.
*I also must reiterate the 82 deaths in Baghdad last week.
*Commander General David Petraeus said “We got down at the people level and are staying. Once the people know that we are going to be around, then all kinds of things start to happen.” No word on what kind of things will start to happen.
*A military report last month contained this: “Iraq, USAF F-16s dropped GBU-12s and GBU-38s on enemy buildings near Baghdad. Large secondary explosions were noted after the initial strike, indicating the destruction of explosive material within the structure.” Blowing up stuff that was dangerous because it could blow up. Excellent.
Look, I have a good idea of how to stop an Iraqi civil war. Make them different countries. Iraq is a constructed entity anyway, carved up in the Middle East by British and American interests, incorporating Arabs, Persians, and Kurds. So give the Kurds their Kurdistan, the Persian Iraqis a Persistan, and the Arab Iraqis an Arabstan or something (just don’t put me on the naming committee)
There can’t be sectarian violence if there are no sects. They’re all pissed off because they don’t want people with conflicting interests running their country. So don’t let it happen! Give them separate nations and let them run themselves. It worked, for the most part, with India and Pakistan (with Kashmir being the exception), so why couldn’t it work here?
Americans desperately want a victory, but we wouldn’t know a victory in Iraq if it came up and bit us in the rear. We have no idea what victory in Iraq looks like, so how in the world do we expect to reach it? If we want a path to victory, we need to know where we’re going first.
If we want peace, let’s give the Iraqi partisans their piece.